@herbertroitblat
Herbert RoitblatFounder▲9L1
CTO, Chief AI Officer, Reliath AI
3h ago · Link in AI Adoption · Ventura

No signs of AI payoff outside the tech sector

We at Reliath AI see something similar. There are many conflicting demands on companies. They think that they need AI to be competitive, but they don't have the knowledge to translate that into specific actions. What do they want to use AI to do? By default it simplifies into writing summaries. As AI is used more and more to write, the bottleneck to communication moves from writing to reading. The volume of AI writing overwhelms the ability of users to read it. So they get their AI to summarize the writing that another AI expanded from a summary. It reminds of the scene from the movie Real Genius where the students recorded a lecture presented by the professor's cassette player.

The cost of individual tokens has dropped, but the number of tokens needed for a task has exploded. One legal company we know had their token spend increase 13x from January to May this year. Their fix was to move to a self-hosted model. They cut their token spend, but increased their infrastructure spend.

At Reliath AI we do not bill for tokens or for usage. The Reliath AI models are built on facts, not tokens. We use a tiny fraction of the computational resources of the Large Language Models because we are not building large language models, but bespoke fact models. We charge by how much the model knows, not how many tokens it can burn.

apollo.com logoNo signs of AI payoff outside the tech sectorTorsten Slok, Apollo's chief economist, published the note on October 24, 2026. Business spending on AI tokens grew just 0.2% in September, down from 42% in July, based on data from Ramp. Some firms are cutting AI spending as token costs are increasingly viewed as a drag on margins. The note also reports that 80.4% of the top 1% of AI spenders in the data Slok cites are VC-backed. The wider data points the same way. A St. Louis Fed review of about 490,000 earnings calls found that executives mostly describe AI productivity gains as something still to come. San Francisco Fed data shows utilization-adjusted total factor productivity grew just 0.07% over the four quarters ending in the first quarter of 2026. An NBER survey of executives found perceived productivity gains are larger than measured productivity gains, likely reflecting a delay in revenue realizations. For a team building an AI company, the test is whether a buyer outside tech sees a measurable margin gain, not whether the model is capable. Products that consume many tokens per customer may face cost pushback, while tools that remove a visible expense are easier to justify. The counterpoint, from economist Brad DeLong, is that benefits to users, new businesses and the possibility of established platforms locking in customers could matter more than measured GDP or non-tech profits.Lounge News · via apollo.com · Read the story →

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